person
Click here to have Wit & Wisdom sent directly to your inbox

 

Listen to the latest episode of the Emerald Wit & Wisdom Podcast (06/12/24)
New and want to subscribe to Wit & Wisdom? Subscribe here

Good morning.

New intraday records were reached for both the S&P and Nasdaq … while the Dow (composed of only 30 stocks) jealously lags behind but is within shouting distance of joining in on the fun.

There is a bit of enthusiasm among investors that rates will be lowered … possibly providing a needed shot-in-the-arm to the housing market … as high mortgage rates are keeping some properties beyond the reach of potential buyers.  While the Fed has held off … claiming the need to see how the tariffs are affecting inflation … it seems that every candidate vying to take over the vacant governor position agrees with the President’s contention that rates do need to come down.

Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Bessent isn’t just looking for a slight cut … he would like to see a drop of 50 basis points (0.50%) at the September meeting and is not shy about claiming rates should be below 3%.

And the inflationary effect of tariffs?  Some of the candidates for the recent Fed opening are promoting the view that “Trump Tariffs” are not causing inflation … while everyone realizes that disagreeing with the White House view is a certain way to knock yourself out of the running … for any position.

That being said, there is a bit of concern over the proposed head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics as (per the article below) even some Republicans seem to question if he is too much of a “loyalist” … while many do rightfully worry about the constant revisions in data that so many depend upon.  And suggesting we might “scrap” the jobs report isn’t getting him many fans.

The last article below is something I … like many others … have been struggling with … tipping etiquette.  I mean … has tipping gone too far?

Look, I’m not a nasty person (nor cheap) and I do reward service … but I found myself tipping out of guilt rather than doing so out of appreciation.  And I don’t need someone to hand me a machine that claims 30% might be appropriate (unless the server washes my car while I’m dining).  There are even requests for high tips for pickup … buffets … and service quite different than when someone comes to your table and politely laughs at your stupid jokes.

I’m joining many others and cutting back on tipping for mundane tasks … except for good service. Sorry if I embarrass you when we dine out together.

If you insist, I’ll sit at a different table.

Have a great day,

Joseph G. Witthohn, CFA

Have any questions? Please contact info@teamemerald.com

A Look At The News | August 13, 2025

As of 10:28 AM today:
How low might we go?  Treasury Secretary Bessent feels the Fed should cut by half a percent at the next Fed meeting … and eventually go below 3% (TheGuardian)

https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2025/aug/13/us-treasury-secretary-scott-bessent-half-point-interest-rate-cut-fed-inflation-business-live-

 

… which should help greatly with mortgage rates … as right now … due to the jump in recent years … many are “priced out” of home affordability (Bloomberg)

https://archive.ph/QqQaf

 

There are those in the Fed feeling that a wait-and-see attitude is the right way to view inflationary effects of the tariffs … but some considered for positions feel there is no correlation (CNBC)

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/12/fed-board-contenders-miran-bullard-say-trumps-tariffs-are-not-causing-inflation.html

 

The person about to be named the new head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics is under attack as some question if the data (even with constant revisions) will ever be trusted again (FT)

https://archive.is/TGnZF

 

Can people really live past age 150 … as some magazines have claimed?  One model says it isn’t possible … so Elvis will leave the building well before the next century (TheBrighterSide)

https://www.thebrighterside.news/post/human-aging-models-suggest-people-may-never-live-past-150-heres-why/

 

Tipping did start to get a bit out of hand once Covid fears subsided and now people are taking action by leaving less of a tip for their servers (Fox6Now)

https://www.fox6now.com/news/americans-are-annoyed-with-tipping-culture-and-are-leaving-fewer-gratuities

The statements above are supplied for educational purposes only. The statements depict the viewpoints and opinion of the author and are not necessarily the views of Emerald Asset Management or its affiliates. The information described herein is taken from sources which are believed to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed by us.

Emerald Asset Management PA, LLC | 717-556-8900 | 3175 Oregon PikeLeola, PA 17540

Want to change how you receive these emails? You can unsubscribe from this list.

———————————————————————————-

The statements above are supplied for educational purposes only. The statements depict the viewpoints and opinion of the author and are not necessarily the views of Emerald Asset Management or its affiliates. The information described herein is taken from sources which are believed to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed by us.