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Good morning.

Markets are on the rise at the moment, but what will captivate investors this afternoon will be news coming out of the Fed.

While it is expected the Fed will keep rates steady, full attention will be paid toward comments surrounding what may lie in store for the months ahead. Will the Fed continue to express concern over tariff-caused inflation?  Or will Jerome Powell announce things are better than was anticipated … with tariffs … so far … having no effect?

One thing is certain.  The President doesn’t like interest rates being this high and went so far as to give the view that we have a “… stupid person at the Fed,” telling a crowd that he would do a better job if he was in charge … and said dropping rates by as much as 21/2% should be one consideration.

Of course, one major item at the moment continues to be the situation in the Mid-east.  While the President said Iran is interesting in talking, Iranian media broadcast an ominous message yesterday with the statement there would be a “surprise” that the world “…will remember for centuries.” Okay … even if this is fluff … that comment itself is pretty scary and a reminder that things can change on a dime in this crazy world.

And before I forget … Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick claims that almost 70,000 have registered for the “gold card” … allowing a fast path for permanent U.S. residency … made of real gold with Trump’s picture emblazoned on it … at a cost of $5 million each. I am not sure if that is correct for, by my math, that’s $350 billion dollars!  Something seems a bit off … but the cynic in me could very well be wrong.

I just saw an interesting note for travelers to or from JFK.  If you’ve driven to the airport lately (guilty!) you know there is construction all over the place.  Well, it appears it might get a little worse … but at least something is being done about it.  The JFK AirTrain connects passengers with the NYC subway system and will be cutting prices in half (to $4.25) from June 30 through Labor Day. It seems many public transit systems have lowered price … but you do have to shop around. An example is taking Amtrak tomorrow night from New York to Philadelphia.  The 8:30 PM train is $95 and the 10:05 PM train is $65.  But there is a train at 9 PM with a fare of $15. Wow! Sign me up!  Again, it is quite important … and worthwhile … to shop around.

On a final note for today, I noticed the Taliban (last story below) has now made playing chess … watching chess … or even owning a chess board … illegal.

I know the Taliban has a checkered past … but making chess a crime?

I mean … do they consider it pawn-ography?

Have a great day,

Joseph G. Witthohn, CFA

Have any questions? Please contact info@teamemerald.com

A Look At The News | June 18, 2025

As of 10:51 AM today:
With computer availability always at your fingertips, do you find yourself actually working around the clock?  Many do … and it is questioned if this is a good thing (TechSpot)

https://www.techspot.com/news/108343-microsoft-study-finds-infinite-workday-hurting-productivity.html

 

There is one view that none of this really will matter at some point … for AI will do all of the work we do now … meaning we might not be needed any longer (CNBC)

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/17/ai-godfather-geoffrey-hinton-theres-a-chance-that-ai-could-displace-humans.html

 

… though there are some jobs AI will not easily displace … though robots might try … and we are slowly finding that out in nursing homes as we start to eliminate immigrant workers (Axios)

https://www.axios.com/2025/06/18/trump-immigration-nursing-homes

 

As summer approaches, grills get fired up … but many find the price of steaks a bit hard to swallow.  What might help is understanding there are many fine cuts of beef as listed here (AOL)

https://www.aol.com/ultimate-guide-steak-15-cuts-181600860.html

 

I don’t know … this gold card thing really seemed a bit crazy when it was introduced … but doing the math kind of makes it interesting … though many of the comments are critical (FT)

https://archive.is/OvzXF

 

The Taliban are pretty strict, and certain rules must be followed … but it is certainly surprising to learn that chess … playing … owning a board … even watching a game … is forbidden (NPR)

https://www.npr.org/sections/goats-and-soda/2025/06/17/g-s1-72309/chess-ban-afghanistan-taliban

The statements above are supplied for educational purposes only. The statements depict the viewpoints and opinion of the author and are not necessarily the views of Emerald Asset Management or its affiliates. The information described herein is taken from sources which are believed to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed by us.

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The statements above are supplied for educational purposes only. The statements depict the viewpoints and opinion of the author and are not necessarily the views of Emerald Asset Management or its affiliates. The information described herein is taken from sources which are believed to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed by us.